Economic complexity and structural transformation: the case of Mozambique
Research output: Working paper › Research
Mozambique is among the world’s least complex economies. By systematically accounting for both supply- and demand-side factors, we identify new products and sectors that can help to diversify and upgrade its economy. In a supply-side analysis, we use network methods from the literature on economic complexity to identify a set of target products that are complex, require productive capabilities useful in the export of other products, and are close to Mozambique’s existing productive structure. In a demand-side analysis, we use gravity models to predict the export potential of target products and markets given product-specific trade resistance and geographically dispersed demand. The broad sectoral focus of Mozambique’s industrial policy is largely consistent with structural transformation and export promotion. The current prioritization of agriculture, agro-industry, and metals is especially important, while there are unexploited opportunities in machinery, vehicles, and transport equipment. We find somepotential for Mozambique to export target products to neighbouring countries.
Original language | English |
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Place of Publication | Helsinki |
Number of pages | 47 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2020 |
Series | W I D E R. Working Papers |
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Number | 2020/141 |
ISSN | 1798-7237 |
- Faculty of Social Sciences - economic complexity, trade, export upgrading, structural transformation, Mozambique
Research areas
ID: 251180185